Winter Storm Warning issued for WNY
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Sunny day, then heavy, widespread snow starts after sunset.
BUFFALO, N.Y. —
Conditions will not be as cold for Sunday, with sunshine in the forecast and temperatures warming to around 30 in the afternoon. But Western New Yorkers will only get one day of respite from inclement weather with the next system moving in for Sunday night Monday.
And this will likely be one snowy Martin Luther King Jr. Day, and not just for Western New Yorkers. Current model projections have a strong low pressure system swinging up the East Coast.
The main impact for this region will be snow, potentially heavy snow, and some impressive accumulations too. Buffalo metro is modeled to receive between 12"-18" of snow from Sunday night to Monday night. Thankfully, there will be less people on the road due to MLK holiday. Over the 8 counties in our area, WNYers should receive somewhere between 10"-20" of snow, with the possible exception of Allegany County, where some wintry mix will fall in addition to snow.
A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Allegany County from 7 p.m. Sunday to 7 p.m. Monday warning of 7 to 13 inches of snow the southeastern corner of Western New York.
A Winter Storm Warning for Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie Counties is warning of 12 to 20 inches of snow. This warning is in place from 7 p.m. Sunday to 10 p.m. Monday.
Finally, a separate Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie and Genesee Counties from 9 p.m. Sunday to 7 p.m. Monday. Snowfall totals between 12 to 19 inches are possible in these areas.
All areas across Western New York will be dealing with gusty winds on Monday with gusts to 45mph, and this could make travel near impossible with whiteout conditions expected.
The exact path of this storm is still somewhat uncertain. Any shifts west means less snow for Western New York since more warm air can work its way into the system and any further east and snowfall totals drop dramatically.
Also note, that areas of lake effect snow will add a couple inches in spots late Monday into Tuesday AM, especially SE of the Great Lakes with wind coming from the NW.
Will New England Patriots-Buffalo Bills performance be impacted by weather?
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NFL betting: How the weather could affect Patriots-Bills and other wild card games
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It’s the most common and banal subject for small talk, but the weather could play a big factor in the first three games of this weekend’s wild card slate, so let’s discuss its potential impact.
All lines from BetMGM.
Line: Bengals -5.5, o/u 48.5
Weather forecast: 31°F with 10 mph winds and 0% chance of precipitation
Per Paul Dehner Jr., Raiders QB Derek Carr is 0-5 in games where the temperature was 37 degrees or less at kickoff. Like George Costanza in a swimming pool, Carr’s EPA experiences significant shrinkage when it’s cold. His career Expected Points Added per play is -0.12 when it’s 40 degrees or colder and -0.07 when it’s between 41 and 50 degrees. Carr owns a positive EPA at every other temperature. Bengals QB Joe Burrow, on the other hand, is at his very best when it’s chilly. Baby Aaron’s EPA is +0.33 in temperatures between 41 and 50 degrees and +0.54 when it’s 40 degrees or below. This game is setting up nicely for a Cincinnati team that beat the Raiders 32-13 in Vegas a couple months ago.
Line: Bills -4.5, o/u 43.5
Weather forecast: 8°F with 7 mph winds and 4% chance of snow
Bills QB Josh Allen is 3-2 in games with freezing temperatures, and his stats are even less impressive. He’s completed 50.3% of his passes, averaged 166.6 passing yards per game, and thrown six touchdowns to seven interceptions over those five contests. The culprit, according to Allen, is poor foot circulation. Former Pro Bowl linebacker Bart Scott couldn’t wait to dish out some advice this week on how to overcome that problem. His solution? “Take some Viagra.” Things haven’t been as hard in cold weather for Patriots QB Mac Jones. Even though he was born and raised in The Sunshine State and played college ball in Alabama, Jones posts his highest NFL EPA when fans are bundled up. The rookie boasts a +0.59 EPA in temperatures between 41 and 50 degrees and +0.15 when it’s 40 degrees or below. It may be worth taking the points with Bill Belichick against a stiff Allen.
Story continues
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Bucs -8.5, o/u 45.5
Weather forecast: 66°F with 23 mph winds and 11% chance of precipitation
With an 84% chance of rain earlier in the day and 23 mph winds, this one could turn out to be a slopfest benefitting the underdog Eagles. Philadelphia leads the league in rushing, averaging 159.7 yards per game on the ground, and will welcome the return of RB Miles Sanders, whose 5.5 yards per carry ranks fourth among running backs. The Bucs ended the year as the third-best rushing defense, but ranked 11th over the last three games of the season, giving up 109 rushing yards per outing. Linebacker Lavonte David is a game-time decision with a foot injury and would be a big blow to the Tampa defense if he’s not able to suit up. Betting against Tom Brady can often be a deflating experience but he’s down two of his best receivers and will likely be facing strong winds on Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Eagles were able to keep this one close.
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is 3-2 in games where it’s 32 degrees or colder. (Rich Barnes/USA TODAY Sports)
Stats provided by teamrankings.com, nflfastr.com and NBC Sports.
‘It’s beautiful weather for football,’ Bills fans say, brushing off the cold
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Saturday’s game rivaled that game, with temperatures in the single digits. But the couple was incredulous when asked whether they thought about watching the Patriots game from the confines of their Boston, N.Y., home.
“No way,” Rick Genesse said. “This is generational. The last time the Bills were this good was in the ’90s.”
Genesse and his wife rented an RV for the occasion and showed up Friday night. When it got cold, they started a fire.
“It’s beautiful weather for football,” Julie Genesse said.
That statement is only true if you come prepared, like Andy Madden of Lexington, S.C., did.
Madden, 41, strolled through the RV lot with a beer in his left hand and a cigar in his right. The Corning native brought his two sons, ages 10 and 11, up from the South to experience a Bills game, weather and all.
“I wanted to get them in Buffalo and see the elements firsthand,” Madden said. “Plus, we only have what, a year left in this stadium?”
Madden had simple advice for his sons about dressing warm.
“It’s just layers,” he said. “Get good layers.”
Winter weather advisory for Buffalo Ridge area in Minnesota
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SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (KELO.com) — Gusty winds and a fresh snow cover may result in blowing snow and reduced visibility tonight along and near the Buffalo Ridge in southwest Minnesota. The National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory from 8pm until six o’clock Sunday morning for Lincoln, Lyon, and Murray Counties in Minnesota.
They advise to plan accordingly if traveling later in that area.